Survivor Betting Odds and Predictions: Who Will Win Season 48?

Survivor Betting Odds and Predictions: Who Will Win Season 48?

The Survivor Season 48 odds are very competitive early on, so there are interesting betting opportunities out there. We’re here to help with regular predictions for the eventual winner.

The hit CBS reality TV show returns to Fiji for another season of the ultimate outdoor survival contest. Read on for everything you need to know about betting on Survivor 48.

Note: We will update the Survivor odds and predictions every Thursday after each week’s episode, so stay tuned!


Survivor Season 48 Odds and Prediction (Updated After Each Episode)

We will be adding the updated odds, analysis, and prediction after each episode here, so you will continue to have fresh information as the season progresses!

Here are the 2025 Survivor odds, courtesy of BetOnline, after the third episode:

CASTAWAYODDS
Joe Hunter+180
Eva Erickson+200
Shauhin Davari+650
Kyle Fraser+1000
Kamilla Karthigesu+1000
Mitch Guerra+1200
Thomas Krottinger+1400
Mary Zheng+1400
David Kinne+1600

Joe Hunter (+180) remains the betting favorite to win Survivor Season 48 following Episode 3 at the best Survivor betting sites! After opening as a +1000 longshot, Joe’s odds have skyrocketed to the top of the board. He entered last week as a +250 favorite and is now down to +180.

In short, Joe has a 35.7% implied probability of winning this season of Survivor. This represents a huge improvement for the 45-year-old fire captain from Sacramento. Joe’s preseason odds of +1000 represented just a 9.1% probability of winning the game in Fiji.

Per the latest Survivor 48 odds, Joe’s confidant, Eva Erickson (+200), follows closely behind him. Eva, who is in a two-player alliance with Joe, immediately formed a team with him in the first episode. It’s a formidable team, and oddsmakers seem to believe they’re the castaways to beat.

Currently, Eva has a 33.3% implied chance to win, which is an improvement from 25% last week. Shauhin Davari (+650) retains the third-shortest Survivor winner odds, but regressed from +500 to +650 this week.

Before I delve into my updated Survivor winner prediction below, a reminder that you can access Survivor 2025 odds at BetOnline click through the site to Sports > Entertainment > Survivor.

BetOnline
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Survivor 48 Predictions and Betting Pick After Episode 3

The hits keep coming for the Vula Tribe in Fiji! Three episodes in and Vula is already down three castaways. It was clear from the get-go that they were going to have a difficult time in immunity challenges.

Producers seemingly punished this tribe from the start, as they looked completely outclassed in the athleticism department before even playing in a challenge. Kevin Leung, Vula’s most physically gifted tribemate, suffered a dislocated shoulder on the first challenge of Survivor 48.

In the latest episode of Survivor, Justin Pioppi was sent packing after Vula came up short once again in the immunity challenge. It was one of the longest tribal councils of all time, which included a successful “Shot in the Dark” used by Mary Zheng. Funnily enough, Mary criticized the advantage before filming for this season started.

Mary became only the second contestant in Survivor history to be saved by the last-ditch tool. With a one-in-six chance of success, Mary is the luckiest player so far this season! Justin was unfortunately on the short end of the stick at the wild tribal council.

Meanwhile, the Lagi Tribe continues to build chemistry and work together strongly. Joe has the whole tribe wrapped around his finger. In an alliance with Eva and the “California Girls” alliance, he has all bases covered as we approach the fourth week of Survivor 48.

There will undoubtedly be drama later on, and Joe will have to stab Shauhin or Thomas Krottinger in the back. In any event, Joe is the most dangerous castaway and remains my top Survivor winner pick! He has a little bit of everything, including a strong social and physical threat that makes him the one to beat.

After betting on Joe at +1000 in the preseason, and then +250 odds last week, he remains a solid choice to win at +180!

The Bet
Joe Hunter


Survivor 48 Tribes and Contestants

Survivor 48 consists of the Civa, Lagi, and Vula Tribe. Now, let’s learn more about the three tribes and castaways on each side.

But, first, when does Survivor start? On Wednesday, February 26, 2025, Survivor 48 debuts at 8:00 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+.

Lagi Tribe

Lagi features a few contenders that could win the game in Fiji. According to the latest 2025 Survivor betting odds at BetUS, Star Toomey, Thomas Krottinger, and Hunter should be in the mix.

Lagi Tribe Members:

    • Bianca Roses, 33, strategic PR consultant (Arlington, VA)
    • Eva Erickson, 24, engineering grad student (Providence, RI)
    • Joe Hunter, 45, fire captain (Sacramento, CA)
    • Shauhin Davari, 38, debate professor (Costa Mesa, CA)
    • Star Toomey, 28, sales (Augusta, GA)
    • Thomas Krottinger, 34, music producer (Los Angeles, CA)

Civa Tribe

Guerra is on Civa, so they have the pre-game betting favorite to win Survivor 48! Whether this results in winning the game remains to be seen, but Guerra should be a weapon for the Civa Tribe. Kimma Karthigesu is also worth watching out for this season.

Civa Tribe Members:

    • Charity Nelms, 34, flight attendant (St. Petersburg, FL)
    • Chrissy Sarnowsky, 55, firefighter (Chicago, IL)
    • David Kinne, 39, stunt artist (Buena Park, CA)
    • Kamilla Karthigesu, 31, discord engineer (San Francisco, CA)
    • Kyle Fraser, 31, attorney (Brooklyn, NY)
    • Mitch Guerra, 34, teacher (Waco, TX)

Vula Tribe

Berger is expected to be the powerhouse of the Vula Tribe. With the second-shortest odds to win Survivor 48, the betting markets are expecting positives from her. Additionally, Saiounia Hughley, Kevin Leung, and Mary Zheng are among the favorites, so this should be a formidable tribe.

Vula Tribe Members:

    • Cedrek McFadden, 45, surgeon (Greenville, SC)
    • Justin Pioppi, 29, restaurant manager (Winthrop, MA)
    • Kevin Leung, 34, finance manager (Livermore, CA)
    • Mary Zheng, 31, substance abuse counselor (Philadelphia, PA)
    • Saiounia Hughley, 30, marketing specialist (Simi Valley, CA)
    • Stephanie Berger, 38, tech product specialist (Brooklyn, NY)


Survivor Season 48: Who Will You Bet on to Win?

Our Survivor betting strategy is to place a pre-game pick on Hunter prior to Episode 1, watch the action weekly, and wait for the right time to make an in-season wager.

You can add more to your original wager on a sneaky underdog that garners favorable value and monitor the Survivor odds while the season is underway at BetUS and BetOnline.

So, who is your best Survivor 48 pick to win? If you’re confident, don’t forget to place your bets and cash in on the 48th season of Survivor.

About the Author
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Kyle Eve
Editor in Chief
Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada
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