31st SAG Awards Odds: Chalamet for Best Actor?

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Kyle Eve
Kyle Eve in Entertainment
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31st SAG Awards Odds: Chalamet for Best Actor?

As awards season continues to roll forward, the Screen Actors Guild Awards is another show worth watching in the build-up to the Oscars. You can also bet on them, with the 2025 SAG Awards odds are now available at online bookmakers!

In this article, I explore the latest odds to win the major categories and share my SAG Awards predictions!

2025 SAG Awards Odds and Quick Predictions

Here you can find our SAG Awards picks and odds, courtesy of BetOnline:

AWARDSAG FAVORITESAG PREDICTION
Best EnsembleAnora (-150)Wicked (+200)
Best ActorTimothee Chalamet – A Complete Unknown (-160)Timothee Chalamet – A Complete Unknown (-160)
Best ActressDemi Moore – The Substance (-400)Demi Moore – The Substance (-400)
Supporting ActorKieran Culkin – A Real Pain (-1000)Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain (-1000)
Supporting ActressZoe Saldana – Emilia Perez (-410)Ariana Grande – Wicked (+200)

Wicked leads all films with five nominations at the 2025 SAG Awards. However, Jon M. Chu’s movie isn’t favored for any of the major awards at entertainment betting sites.

The Bob Dylan biographical drama, A Complete Unknown, had a solid showing, too, with four nominations, including for Male Actor in a Leading Role. Currently, though, the most likely winner in a major category is Kieran Culkin (-1000) for Male Actor in a Supporting Role.

You can find up-to-date SAG betting odds at BetOnline by navigating to Sports > Entertainment > SAG Awards.

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2025 SAG Awards Best Bets by Category

If you are interested in checking out the reasoning for my SAG Awards 2025 predictions, continue reading below:

Best Ensemble Odds and Pick

ENSEMBLEODDS
Anora-150
Wicked+200
Conclave+550
A Complete Unknown+800
Emilia Perez+800
Anora (-150) is the betting favorite to win the SAG for Best Ensemble. This affords Anora a 60% implied probability of taking home the award. It should be a toss-up between Anora and Wicked, so I don’t view much value at -150. Instead, considering the current SAG odds, Wicked is the best bet to consider for Best Ensemble. It’s been a relatively slow start for Wicked on the awards season circuit. The film has received plenty of nominations, but didn’t shine at the Golden Globes.That said, Wicked captured the Globe for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement. Also, Wicked had some success at the Critics Choice Awards, as director Jon M. Chu went home with the Best Director trophy. The Academy didn’t nominate him for an Oscar, much to the dismay of Wicked fans. However, I expect Wicked to gather momentum at the SAG Awards. The Screen Actors Guild doesn’t have a vendetta against Chu like you’d think the Academy does. When you think of Anora, Mikey Madison comes to mind. With Wicked, it’s the entire cast that gets attention, which includes a powerhouse lineup of Ariana Grande, Cynthia Erivo, Jeff Goldblum, Peter Dinklage, and Michelle Yeoh! In this respect, Wicked for Best Ensemble is worth a look for your 2025 SAG predictions.
The Bet
Wicked
+200
Bet Now

Best Actor Odds and Pick

ACTORODDS
Timothee Chalamet – A Complete Unknown-160
Adrien Brody – The Brutalist+110
Colman Domingo – Sing Sing+700
Ralph Fiennes – Conclave+1600
Daniel Craig – Queer+3300
Timothee Chalamet is not the betting favorite to win the Oscar for Best Actor. However, Chalamet’s portrayal of Bob Dylan in A Complete Unknown is generating lots of buzz for the SAG Awards. So, where’s the disconnect between the Academy Awards and SAG Awards? You can also include the Golden Globes because Chalamet wasn’t favored there early, and lost out to Adrien Brody of The Brutalist. For one, the Screen Actors Guild loves Chalamet and A Complete Unknown. Note that many of the voters differ, as not all members of SAG are in the Academy. While there is certainly a crossover in winners between the two awards, it isn’t always the case.I believe that’s the situation we’re looking at here. Chalamet was excellent in the film, and I think he should receive recognition for his role in A Complete Unknown. It isn’t going to translate into a win at the Oscars, but the SAG Awards? It looks like it! I suggest backing Chalamet to get it done, so consider him for your SAG best bets!
The Bet
Timothee Chalamet
-160
Bet Now

Best Actress Odds and Pick

ACTRESSODDS
Demi Moore – The Substance-400
Mikey Madison – Anora+250
Cynthia Erivo – Wicked+1000
Karla Sofia Gascon – Emilia Perez+1100
Pamela Anderson – The Last Showgirl+2000
The Actress in a Leading Actor category features some intriguing candidates! Pamela Anderson and Demi Moore received their first-ever SAG nominations this year. As it stands, Moore is in the driver’s seat to win the award for Best Actress. Currently, The Substance’s leading across holds an 80% implied chance of winning the top honor! Moore already has a huge win on her resume this year. In another first, the 62-year-old Moore captured her first major award with the Golden Globe for Best Actress in January. The SAG Awards typically play to their favorites in the voting process. Similar to Chalamet, Moore has a huge supporting cast in the Screen Actors Guild and should receive plenty of votes from her peers.It’s not only that, though. This isn’t a sympathy vote because Moore is getting older and hasn’t been to the mountaintop before 2025. She is excellent in the horror thriller and has taken a genre that typically doesn’t get much love to the limelight during awards season. In short, Moore for Best Actress is a solid SAG Awards pick to win. The value isn’t quite where I’d like it at -400, but Moore should prevail.
The Bet
Demi Moore
-400
Bet Now

Best Supporting Actor Odds and Pick

SUPPORTING ACTORODDS
Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain-1000
Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice+250
Yura Borisov – Anora+600
Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown+600
Jonathan Bailey – Wicked+1600
Kieran Culkin’s portrayal of Benji Kaplan in A Real Pain has received rave reviews and cleaning up during awards season. Fresh off wins for Supporting Actor at the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards, Culkin has his sights on a SAG Award.According to the latest 2025 SAG odds, Culkin has a massive 90.9% implied chance of winning Supporting Actor. He doesn’t face much competition, but oddsmakers are giving Jeremy Strong a puncher’s chance. The challenger has a 28.6% probability of winning according to the odds, which is too high for my liking. If you want to take a bet on a long shot, Edward Norton is probably where you want to look. Strong should be in the +600 range with Norton and Yura Borisov. The way I see it, though, Culkin is already in the winner’s circle for Best Supporting Actor. Nevertheless, I can’t recommend betting on Culkin for this SAG Awards pick at -1000 odds. There is no value in betting on such a low price, so the best course of action is to pass at online betting sites on this wager!
The Bet
No Play

Best Supporting Actress Odds and Pick

ACTRESSODDS
Zoe Saldana – Emilia Perez-410
Ariana Grande – Wicked+200
Jamie Lee Curtis – The Last Showgirl+1600
Monica Barbaro – A Complete Unknown+2000
Danielle Deadwyler – The Piano Lesson+2000
After finding success at the Golden Globes, Emilia Perez is looking for more hardware at the SAG Awards. The film is nominated for three awards, including Zoe Saldana for Best Supporting Actress. Saldana picked up the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actress for her role in the movie. It’s a polarizing film with varying reviews, but Saldana has been impressing voters. Having said that, I’m confident that Ariana Grande isn’t going to be shut out completely. She hasn’t won a major award yet, but I believe the SAG Awards is her best chance. It’s unlikely that Grande has the votes with the Academy, but the Screen Actors Guild could have her back!Her performance as Glinda in Wicked is certainly worthy of a prestigious honor. A SAG Award seems like the most likely route for Grande to a major trophy. It should be a close race, but at +200, Grande is a strong option for your 2025 SAG picks!
The Bet
Ariana Grande
+200
Bet Now

Where to Bet on the SAG Awards?

You can bet on the SAG Awards at select offshore sportsbooks! For the best SAG Awards odds and user experience, we recommend checking out the latest prices at BetOnline.

As an experienced oddsmaker with years of offering odds on awards shows, BetOnline is one of the most trusted betting sites for the SAG Awards. New customers can take advantage of a unique sign-up bonus.

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About the Author
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Kyle Eve
Editor in Chief
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Kyle Eve is Editor-in-Chief of The Sports Geek. Since joining the team in 2012, Kyle, has covered some of the biggest sporting events in the world. From the Super Bowl and World Series to March Madness, the NBA Finals, Kentucky Derby, and many more, Kyle has provided reliable analysis for millions of readers. After dedicating himself to hockey and football in high school, Kyle placed his first sports bet on his 18th birthday. Since then, he has spent his entire adult life devoting himself to becoming the best sports bettor and casino gambler possible. Kyle is from Windsor, ON, Canada
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