2025 Oscars Odds, Predictions, and Betting Picks

2025 Academy Awards Odds: Who’s Winning an Oscar?

The updated 2025 Oscars betting odds reveal some big changes in the Academy Awards betting markets! The big ceremony is on March 2, 2025, and the action is heating up at online bookies. The nominations were released on January 23, and there has been some movement in the Oscar betting lines.

There was some early value on the board, and there is still some chalk left at the Academy Awards. But some previous favorites are now available at much higher prices! Therefore, now is a good time to lock in your Oscars 2025 betting picks. Below, check out the latest prices for the major categories, analysis, and my predictions.

2025 Oscars Betting Odds and Quick Predictions

The following Academy Award 2025 betting odds are courtesy of Bovada:

AWARD	OSCAR FAVORITE	OSCAR PREDICTION
Best Picture	Anora (-200)	The Brutalist (+600)
Best Actor	Adrien Brody – The Brutalist (-200)	Adrien Brody – The Brutalist (-200)
Best Supporting Actor	Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain (-5000)	Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain (-5000)
Best Actress	Demi Moore – The Substance (-250)	Demi Moore – The Substance (-165)
Best Supporting Actress	Zoe Saldana – Emilia Perez (-3000)	Zoe Saldana – Emilia Perez (-3000)
Best Director	Sean Baker – Anora (-225)	Brady Corbet – The Brutalist (-EVEN)

According to the latest Oscars 2025 odds at entertainment betting sites, The Brutalist and Anora are expected to go to battle at the Academy Awards. Brady Corbet’s Holocaust survivor drama is favored to win Best Actor (-200) for Adrien Brody. Meanwhile, Anora is now favored for Best Picture (-200) and Best Director (-225).

The Brutalist was previously the -120 favorite to win Best Picture, after its Golden Globes win flipped the Oscars odds in its favor. Now, Anora is favored at -200, dropping from +450! Anora has turned the tables after wins at the Critics’ Choice Movie Awards and the PGA (Producers Guild of America) Awards.

Likewise, Mikey Madison’s odds of winning Best Actress for Anora have regressed from +200, to +120, and back up to +180. Demi Moore is still the favorite in this category for her work in The Substance, and she moved from -225 after winning the Golden Globe.

Conclave (+225) is moving up the Oscars odds after wins at the SAG Awards and the BAFTAs. Just last week, Conclave was priced at +700 for Best Picture, third behind Anora and The Brutalist.

For the other major awards, the Supporting categories reveal that Kieran Culkin (-5000) and Zoe Saldana (-3000) are way ahead of their competition at online sportsbooks. Culkin has a 98% implied win chance for A Real Pain, and should only be used in a parlay. Meanwhile, Saldana has an implied win probability of 96.7% to win Supporting Actress for Emilia Perez.

You can find these up-to-date odds at Bovada by navigating to Sports > Entertainment > Academy Awards > 97th Academy Awards.

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2025 Oscar Best Bets by Category

Now that you’ve seen the odds and my quick predictions, let’s delve into our Academy Awards best bets for 2025 by category.

Best Picture Odds and Pick

PICTURE	ODDS
Anora	-200
Conclave	+225
The Brutalist	+600
A Complete Unknown	+4000
Emilia Perez	+6500
Wicked	+6500
The Substance	+10000
Dune: Part Two	+10000
Nickel Boys	+10000
I’m Still Here	+10000

The Brutalist had taken over the top spot in the 2025 Oscars odds for Best Picture, with odds of -120. It was +175 a few weeks ago at offshore sportsbooks! But now it is back to +600!Anora edged ahead before the Golden Globes, and had slipped to +175 from +450 after losing at the Globes. But it’s gaining momentum in the Oscars 0dds as of late February after a few wins at other awards shows, and is favored at -200 in a stunning turnaround! Currently, Anora has a 66.7% implied probability of winning for Best Picture.Conclave is making a big push late in the race, which is fitting considering we’re looking into next Pope odds right now. It was +700 a week ago, but it’s now at +225 with an implied win probability of 30.8%!The Brutalist presents some fantastic value betting after winning the Golden Globe. Emilia Perez should also be considered. The movie had a fantastic showing at the Golden Globes and will be highly regarded at the Academy Awards.Nevertheless, the story about architect Laszlo Toth escaping the Holocaust and starting a new life in the United States carries a great amount of appeal for Best Picture. It focuses on the all-time lows of humanity and the rebirth of a new life in the US. The film scored a 93% rating on Rotten Tomatoes, and 90% on Metacritic. Starring an elite cast including leading actor Adrien Brody, the nearly four-hour film has gained worldwide recognition and could continue to garner attention at the Academy Awards. Despite the drop in its Academy Awards odds, I’m sticking to my guns with The Brutalist, and there is now plenty of betting value there!

The Bet

The Brutalist

+600

Bet Now

Best Actor Odds and Pick

ACTOR	ODDS
Adrien Brody – The Brutalist	-200
Timothee Chalamet – A Complete Unknown	+150
Ralph Fiennes – Conclave	+1500
Sebastian Stan – The Apprentice	+3500
Colman Domingo – Sing Sing	+3500

Adrien Brody remains a -200 favorite to win the Oscar for Best Actor, shortening from -165, but then moving back from -225. The Academy Awards odds moved for Best Actor after he scored the award at the Golden Globes. Brody now has a 66.7% implied chance to win. In 2003, Brody captured the Best Actor Oscar for his leading role in The Pianist. Critics are calling for a similar performance out of the star, who is made for these types of roles. The film is centered around Brody’s portrayal of Toth. He is responsible for carrying the story and does it brilliantly, according to moviegoers who viewed the film at TIFF.Brody’s odds for Best Actor might shorten more before the Academy Awards on Sunday. He had +100 odds to win in November, shifted to -165 and is now -225. In short, there is still a little value in Brody to win the Oscar at this price. Timothee Chalamet (+150) has made it a conversation after winning at the SAG Awards for A Complete Unknown, but I still think it is Brody’s Oscar to lose!

The Bet

Adrien Brody

-200

Bet Now

Best Supporting Actor Odds and Pick

ACTOR	ODDS
Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain	-5000
Edward Norton – A Complete Unkown	+1200
Guy Pearce – The Brutalist	+1500
Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice	+1500
Yura Borisov – Anora	+2000

A Real Pain’s Kieran Culkin has taken a firm lead over the field for Best Supporting Actor. At -5000 odds, Culkin has an 98% implied probability of capturing the first Oscar of his career, up from 95.2% last week. In our last Academy Awards 2025 odds update in November, Culkin was a -500 favorite with an 83.3% implied chance. In short, his odds of winning are continuing to improve. This is in large part due to his win at the Golden Globes to open the year. It would be another feather in the cap for Culkin, who won the Emmy Award for Oustanding Lead Actor in a Drama in January 2024 for his work as Roman Roy on Succession.While I believe Guy Pearce is getting more recognition for his performance in The Brutalist, he appears to be overmatched by Culkin. Even Pearce has already given the Oscar for Culkin, who has swept the awards season. For all the success and accolades that Culkin has received for his role in Succession, he is still searching for his first Oscar. I expect Culkin’s long wait to come to an end on March 2. That said, there isn’t any value on his Oscars odds at -5000. So, I will pick him to win Best Supporting Actor, but -5000 odds aren’t worth betting on unless you’re going to include it in a parlay bet.

The Bet

No Bet

Best Actress Odds and Pick

ACTRESS	ODDS
Demi Moore – The Substance	-250
Mikey Madison – Anora	+180
Fernanda Torres – I’m Still Here	+1400
Cynthia Erivo – Wicked	+3500
Karla Sofia Gascon – Emilia Perez	+4000

There has been a significant shake-up in the odds for Best Actress over the last two months. Mikey Madison’s price has regressed from -175, to -130, to +200, +120 since losing at the Golden Globes. Meanwhile, Demi Moore’s odds have skyrocketed from +900, to +110, to -165, to -225! It is difficult to win major awards in the horror genre, but Moore has a big chance here. The 62-year-old Hollywood veteran’s implied probability of winning moved from 10%, to 47.6%, to 62.3%, to 71.4%! The move happened after Moore upset the field at the Golden Globes. She is now a resounding favorite to win her first Academy Award! However, keep an eye on Madison’s odds after portraying exotic dancer Anora in Anora. She’s moved from +200, to +120, to +180, so there is a chance! Madison is coming off a big win at the BAFTAs, but it might be too little, too late for the young actress.Beyond her excellent performance in The Substance, Moore is a well-liked actress around Hollywood, who has been waiting a while for her time in the spotlight at the Academy Awards. The Academy could feel compelled to give the nod to Moore in a race they find difficult to call. The way I see it, the best value on betting apps for Best Actress is Moore at -225 odds!

The Bet

Demi Moore

-225

Bet Now

Best Supporting Actress Odds and Pick

ACTRESS	ODDS
Zoe Saldana – Emilia Perez	-3000
Adriana Grande – Wicked	+1000
Felicity Jones – The Brutalist	+1500
Isabella Rossellini – Conclave	+2000
Monica Barbaro – A Complete Unkown	+2500

Zoe Saldana’s 2025 Oscar odds have shifted since the Golden Globe winners were announced. She was a massive -800 favorite, after going into this year as a -200 favorite before she won the Globe for Best Supporting Actress. Saldana was priced at -1500 to win her first Oscar last week, and heads into the final push at -3000! Danielle Deadwyler and Jennifer Grey opened as +230 betting favorites back last March. However, both Grey and Deadwyle have fallen off the board after failing to get nominated.Emilia Perez was one of the big winners of the Golden Globes, and I suspect that it will continue at the Academy Awards. It has an outside chance of winning Best Picture, but the more realistic result is Saldana for Best Supporting Actress.

Zoe Saldaña wins the #GoldenGlobe for best performance by a female actor in a supporting role in any motion picture. https://t.co/24rsV7o7AU pic.twitter.com/SNhIVTUhp0
— Variety (@Variety) January 6, 2025

Saldana closed at -225 to win at the Golden Globes, which looking back, wasn’t large enough odds. Her portrayal of Rita Mora Castro in Emilia Perez was beloved by the Globes, and it should carry over to the Academy in Hollywood. There is no value in -3000 odds, but consider Saldana for your Oscar pick’em contests, if you are in an Academy Awards pool or if the price dips! Similar to Culkin, you can consider her for parlay bets.

The Bet

No Bet

Best Director Odds and Pick

DIRECTOR	ODDS
Sean Baker – Anora	-225
Brady Corbet – The Brutalist	+165
Jacques Audiard – Emilia Perez	+2000
Coralie Fargeat – The Substance	+3500
James Mangold – A Complete Unknown	+4000

The Brutalist director, Brady Corbet, had established himself as the clear favorite to win the Oscar for Best Director. Last month, Corbet and Sean Baker were co-favorites to win the award at +115. Corbet had improved to -500, which suggested a 83.3% implied chance of winning after he took home the Golden Globe in early January. But now, Corbet sits at +165 odds! Baker has snatched the favorite status in these 2025 Oscars odds at -225, which carries a 69.2% implied win probability! That’s an increase from 58.3% as of last week. Jacques Audiard sits at +2000! The French director helmed Emilia Perez, which won four awards at the Golden Globes. Nevertheless, the Academy Awards typically don’t like directors of musicals, so Baker is a deserving favorite.

Brady Corbet wins Best Director – Motion Picture for #TheBrutalist at the 2025 #GoldenGlobes and sends his condolences to Aubrey Plaza and Jeff Baena's families. pic.twitter.com/a9Vg3Rols7
— The Hollywood Reporter (@THR) January 6, 2025

In short, Corbet should follow up his win at the Golden Globes with another big score at the Oscars! The Brutalist is slipping, including Corbet for Best Director. I’ve thought he would win all along, and now at +165 odds, there is great value betting on him. Grab this quick before the Best Director lines shift again before March 2!

The Bet

Brady Corbet

+165

Bet Now

2025 Oscar Winners: Who Wins at the 87th Academy Awards?

Are there any Oscars betting odds that you like for 2025? After the clear favorites are established, the value is largely gone from the board. Here are our picks:

The Brutalist (+600)
Adrien Brody (-200)
Demi Moore (-225)
Brady Corbet (+165)

So, if there’s an Oscar bet that you like now, I recommend registering at Bovada and placing your bets before the odds shift within the ten days. Check back here in the future for updated odds, and potentially new 2025 Oscars picks, closer to the night of the ceremony.

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